Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.008904 0.010510 0.012448 0.015000 0.018332 0.022627 0.028742
2025-08-17 0.006528 0.008281 0.010631 0.014133 0.019446 0.027641 0.042276
2025-08-24 0.005291 0.007013 0.009480 0.013468 0.020193 0.032089 0.057857
2025-08-31 0.004696 0.006460 0.009136 0.013790 0.022462 0.040085 0.087481
2025-09-07 0.004122 0.005819 0.008497 0.013411 0.023290 0.045747 0.119074
2025-09-14 0.003647 0.005251 0.007861 0.012858 0.023547 0.050312 0.155333
2025-09-21 0.003351 0.004921 0.007561 0.012845 0.024937 0.058754 0.226297
2025-09-28 0.003185 0.004781 0.007560 0.013409 0.027896 0.074379 0.395757
2025-10-05 0.003112 0.004785 0.007814 0.014566 0.032941 0.103310 0.929244
2025-10-12 0.002970 0.004648 0.007776 0.015064 0.036455 0.131968 2.182308
2025-10-19 0.002772 0.004389 0.007461 0.014835 0.037639 0.151694 4.571982
2025-10-26 0.002628 0.004213 0.007291 0.014927 0.040000 0.184032 15.922594
2025-11-02 0.002428 0.003931 0.006898 0.014455 0.040514 0.209355 88.248426
2025-11-09 0.002218 0.003615 0.006403 0.013626 0.039375 0.221125 1121.285280
2025-11-16 0.002048 0.003360 0.006007 0.012993 0.038780 0.238812 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001966 0.003267 0.005952 0.013299 0.042454 0.321381 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001846 0.003090 0.005687 0.012939 0.042918 0.369305 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001728 0.002906 0.005386 0.012412 0.042331 0.401738 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001652 0.002802 0.005260 0.012400 0.044451 0.509449 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001615 0.002774 0.005305 0.012937 0.050137 0.801641 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001608 0.002806 0.005500 0.014037 0.060696 1.724248 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001568 0.002766 0.005510 0.014510 0.067906 3.278148 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001499 0.002660 0.005342 0.014293 0.069730 4.712119 NaN